Super Rugby 2017

LAMP

Losing & Margin Predictor, provides the results for the picks, courtesy of Iris Data Science, Big Data and Machine Learning experts. LAMP is a Super Rugby guest selector in the Otago Daily Times.

Grand Final

Game Margin Predictions

Date	Teams		Stadium	Predictions		Probabilities - Win and Margins
	Home	Away		Winner	Margin	Home Win	Draw	Away Win	Home 13+	Home 12-	Draw	Away 12-	Away 13+
5/08/2017	Lions	Crusaders	Ellis Park Stadium	Lions	Lions 12-	51%	45%	48%	22%	29%	4%	27%	18%

Outright Winner

Team Probabilities

From the semi-finals

Team	Probabilities
Lions	36.43%
Crusaders	29.85%
Hurricanes	25.99%
Chiefs	7.73%

From the quarter-finals

Team Strength Over The Season

Previous Results

		Teams			Results				Probabilities
Round	Date	Home	Away	Stadium	Home	Away	Margin	Predicted margin	Home 13+	Home 12-	Draw	Away 12-	Away 13+

16.2	7/07/2017	Reds	Brumbies	Suncorp Stadium	16	15	1	Brumbies 13+	9%	20%	3%	32%	36%
16.2	7/07/2017	Force	Rebels	Perth Oval	31	22	9	Force 13+	34%	33%	3%	21%	9%
16.2	8/07/2017	Waratahs	Jaguares	Sydney Football Stadium	27	40	-13	Waratahs 13+	39%	31%	3%	18%	9%
16.2	8/07/2017	Bulls	Kings	Loftus Versfeld	30	31	-1	Bulls 13+	43%	31%	3%	17%	7%
16.2	8/07/2017	Stormers	Sunwolves	Newlands	52	15	37	Stormers 13+	79%	13%	1%	5%	2%
15.2	30/06/2017	Sharks	Bulls	Kings Park Stadium	17	30	-13	Sharks 13+	46%	30%	3%	15%	6%
15.2	30/06/2017	Jaguares	Kings	Amalfitani Stadium	30	31	-1	Jaguares 13+	52%	28%	2%	12%	5%
15.2	1/07/2017	Cheetahs	Stormers	Free State Stadium	34	40	6	Stormers 12-	9%	21%	3%	34%	32%
15.2	1/07/2017	Lions	Sunwolves	Ellis Park Stadium	94	7	87	Lions 13+	81%	11%	1%	5%	2%
16	9/06/2017	Hurricanes	Chiefs	Westpac Stadium	14	17	-3	Hurricanes 13+	39%	31%	3%	19%	9%
15	2/06/2017	Blues	Reds	Apia Park	34	29	5	Blues 13+	55%	22%	2%	13%	8%
15	3/06/2017	Crusaders	Highlanders	AMI Stadium	25	22	3	Crusaders 13+	33%	32%	4%	22%	10%
15	3/06/2017	Chiefs	Waratahs	Waikato Stadium	46	31	15	Chiefs 13+	55%	21%	2%	13%	8%
15	3/06/2017	Brumbies	Rebels	Canberra Stadium	32	3	29	Brumbies 13+	58%	21%	2%	12%	7%
15	3/06/2017	Force	Hurricanes	Perth Oval	12	34	-22	Hurricanes 13+	5%	10%	2%	19%	64%
14	26/05/2017	Blues	Chiefs	Eden Park	16	16	0	Chiefs 12-	15%	26%	4%	31%	24%
14	26/05/2017	Reds	Force	Suncorp Stadium	26	40	-14	Reds 12-	27%	31%	4%	25%	15%
14	27/05/2017	Sunwolves	Cheetahs	Prince Chichibu Memorial Stadium	7	47	-40	Cheetahs 12-	18%	27%	4%	29%	23%
14	27/05/2017	Highlanders	Waratahs	Forsyth Barr Stadium	44	28	16	Highlanders 13+	58%	22%	2%	11%	7%
14	27/05/2017	Rebels	Crusaders	AAMI Park	19	41	-22	Crusaders 13+	3%	7%	1%	18%	71%
14	27/05/2017	Bulls	Hurricanes	Loftus Versfeld	20	34	-14	Hurricanes 13+	5%	12%	2%	26%	55%
14	27/05/2017	Sharks	Stormers	Kings Park Stadium	22	10	12	Sharks 12-	24%	31%	4%	26%	15%
14	27/05/2017	Jaguares	Brumbies	Amalfitani Stadium	15	39	-24	Jaguares 12-	27%	32%	4%	24%	13%
14	28/05/2017	Lions	Kings	Ellis Park Stadium	54	10	44	Lions 13+	67%	20%	2%	8%	4%
13	19/05/2017	Chiefs	Crusaders	Fiji National Stadium	24	31	-7	Crusaders 12 -	14%	26%	4%	31%	25%
13	19/05/2017	Stormers	Blues	Newlands	30	22	8	Stormers 12 -	21%	29%	4%	28%	18%
13	20/05/2017	Hurricanes	Cheetahs	Westpac Stadium	61	7	54	Hurricanes 13 +	78%	13%	1%	5%	2%
13	20/05/2017	Force	Highlanders	Perth Oval	6	55	-49	Highlanders 13 +	6%	15%	2%	29%	47%
13	20/05/2017	Sunwolves	Sharks	Singapore National Stadium	17	38	-21	Sharks 13 +	6%	14%	2%	29%	49%
13	20/05/2017	Lions	Bulls	Ellis Park Stadium	51	14	37	Lions 13 +	52%	27%	2%	13%	5%
13	20/05/2017	Kings	Brumbies	Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium	10	19	-9	Brumbies 13 +	12%	22%	3%	29%	34%
13	21/05/2017	Waratahs	Rebels	Sydney Football Stadium	50	23	27	Waratahs 13 +	48%	29%	2%	14%	6%
12	12/05/2017	Blues	Cheetahs	Eden Park	50	32	18	Blues by 13 & Over	66%	21%	2%	8%	3%
12	12/05/2017	Brumbies	Lions	Canberra Stadium	6	13	-7	Lions by 12 & Under	16%	24%	4%	29%	27%
12	13/05/2017	Crusaders	Hurricanes	AMI Stadium	20	12	8	Crusaders by 12 & Under	20%	29%	4%	29%	19%
12	13/05/2017	Rebels	Reds	AAMI Park	24	29	-5	Reds by 12 & Under	14%	23%	4%	31%	28%
12	13/05/2017	Bulls	Highlanders	Loftus Versfeld	10	17	-7	Highlanders by 13 & Over	8%	17%	3%	31%	41%
12	13/05/2017	Kings	Sharks	Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium	35	32	3	Sharks by 13 & Over	4%	12%	2%	28%	54%
12	13/05/2017	Jaguares	Force	Amalfitani Stadium	6	16	-10	Jaguares by 13 & Over	48%	30%	3%	14%	5%
11	5/05/2017	Hurricanes	Stormers	McLean Park	41	22	19	Hurricanes by 13 & Over	68%	18%	1%	8%	4%
11	5/05/2017	Cheetahs	Highlanders	Free State Stadium	41	45	-4	Highlanders by 13 & Over	5%	13%	2%	28%	51%
11	6/05/2017	Rebels	Lions	AAMI Park	10	47	-37	Lions by 13 & Over	7%	15%	3%	29%	47%
11	6/05/2017	Chiefs	Reds	Yarrow Stadium	46	17	29	Chiefs by 13 & Over	66%	21%	2%	8%	3%
11	6/05/2017	Waratahs	Blues	Sydney Football Stadium	33	40	-7	Blues by 12 & Under	14%	23%	4%	30%	29%
11	6/05/2017	Sharks	Force	Kings Park Stadium	37	12	25	Sharks by 13 & Over	53%	28%	2%	12%	4%
11	6/05/2017	Bulls	Crusaders	Loftus Versfeld	24	62	-38	Crusaders by 13 & Over	8%	17%	3%	30%	42%
11	6/05/2017	Jaguares	Sunwolves	Amalfitani Stadium	46	39	7	Jaguares by 13 & Over	71%	17%	1%	8%	3%
10	28/04/2017	Highlanders	Stormers	Forsyth Barr Stadium	57	14	43	Highlanders by 13 & Over	49%	27%	3%	14%	8%
10	29/04/2017	Chiefs	Sunwolves	Waikato Stadium	27	20	7	Chiefs by 13 & Over	82%	12%	1%	4%	2%
10	29/04/2017	Reds	Waratahs	Suncorp Stadium	26	29	-3	Reds by 12 & Under	21%	31%	5%	27%	15%
10	29/04/2017	Force	Lions	Perth Oval	15	24	-9	Lions by 13 & Over	9%	18%	3%	32%	38%
10	29/04/2017	Cheetahs	Crusaders	Free State Stadium	21	48	-27	Crusaders by 13 & Over	6%	13%	2%	26%	53%
10	29/04/2017	Kings	Rebels	Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium	44	3	41	Rebels by 12 & Under	14%	25%	4%	30%	26%
10	29/04/2017	Jaguares	Sharks	Amalfitani Stadium	25	33	-8	Jaguares by 12 & Under	30%	32%	4%	22%	11%
10	30/04/2017	Brumbies	Blues	Canberra Stadium	12	18	-6	Blues by 12 & Under	11%	23%	4%	34%	28%

Top